據(jù)道瓊斯11月14日消息，國(guó)際能源署(IEA)周四警告稱，需求的季節(jié)性增長(zhǎng)或令油價(jià)短期內(nèi)面臨上行壓力。

IEA在其月度原油市場(chǎng)報(bào)告中稱：“若原油和成品油需求的季節(jié)性周期變化能給市場(chǎng)提供指引，那么近期油價(jià)的跌勢(shì)可能會(huì)相對(duì)短暫。”

自本月初以來(lái)，倫敦ICE期貨交易所十二月布倫特原油期貨跌幅僅略高于1%。紐約商交所十二月交割的輕質(zhì)低硫原油期貨下跌近3%。

IEA表示，由于北美原油產(chǎn)量大增，當(dāng)前原油市場(chǎng)供應(yīng)充足。但該機(jī)構(gòu)同時(shí)指出，考慮到眾所周知的天氣和地緣政治不確定因素，原油市場(chǎng)的過(guò)山車式走勢(shì)或許還未終結(jié)。

IEA稱，成品油需求即將出現(xiàn)季節(jié)性增長(zhǎng)，煉油廠應(yīng)在11月和12月大幅提高原油加工量。除此之外，q*許多石油生產(chǎn)大國(guó)還面臨著日益嚴(yán)峻的生產(chǎn)問(wèn)題。

唐紹紅摘譯自道瓊斯

原文如下：

DJ IEA Says Seasonal Demand Could Push Up Oil Prices

By Sarah Kent

The International Energy Agency warned Thursday that a seasonal upswing in demand could put upwards pressure on oil prices in the near-term.

"If seasonal cycles in crude and product demand are any guide, the recent easing of prices may be relatively shortlived," the agency said in its monthly report on the oil market.

Since the beginning of the month, the price of December Brent crude futures on London's ICE Futures exchange has fallen just over 1%. On the New York Mercantile Exchange, light, sweet crude futures for December delivery has fallen nearly 3%.

Although the Paris-based organization, which advises developed countries on energy policy, said that the oil market is currently well supplied due to surging production in North America, it added that "given proverbial uncertainties about the weather and geopolitics, the market might not be at the end of its rollercoaster ride."

The IEA said that demand for oil products is on the verge of a seasonal increase and refineries should steeply raise the amount of oil they process in November and December. On top of that, many of the world's biggest oil producers face production problems that "continue to relentlessly fester."